Videos

James Evans - Diversity, Disconnection, Discord, and Other Properties of Collective Intelligence

Presenter
September 27, 2024
Abstract
Recorded 27 September 2024. James Evans of the University of Chicago presents "Diversity, Disconnection, Discord, and Other Properties of Collective Intelligence" at IPAM's Analyzing High-dimensional Traces of Intelligent Behavior Workshop. Abstract: The wisdom of crowds hinges on the independence and diversity of their members’ information and approach. Here I explore how the wisdom of scientific, technological, business, and civic crowds for sustained discovery, invention, and cooperation operate through a process of collective abduction wherein unexpected findings or conflicts stimulate innovators to forge new insights to make the surprising unsurprising. Drawing on tens of millions of research papers and patents across the life sciences, physical sciences and inventions, as also interactions between diverse collaborating groups, I show that surprising designs and discoveries are the best predictor of outsized success and that surprising advances systematically emerge across, rather than within researchers or teams; most commonly when innovators from one field surprisingly publish or share problem-solving results to an audience in a distant and diverse other. This relates to other research I summarize that shows how across innovators, teams and fields, connection and conformity is associated with reduced replication and impeded innovation. Using these principles, I simulate processes of knowledge search to demonstrate the relationship between crowded fields and constrained collective inferences, and I illustrate how inverting the traditional approach to artificial intelligence approach, to avoid rather than mimic human search, enables the design of diversity that systematically violates established field boundaries and is associated with marked success of predicted innovations. I conclude with a discussion of prospects and challenges in a connected age for sustainable innovation through the design and preservation of difference in science, society, and AI. Learn more online at: https://www.ipam.ucla.edu/programs/workshops/workshop-i-analyzing-high-dimensional-traces-of-intelligent-behavior/?tab=overview